Interpretation

marketbayesmeta produces review artefacts, not automatic decisions.

Reportability

A completed run is not automatically reportable. Check:

• run_status.reportable
• readiness.csv
• diagnostics.csv
• prior_diagnostics.csv
• sensitivity outputs
• analysis_report.md

Future true effect

future_true_effect_summary.csv describes the latent true effect for a comparable future study. It excludes measurement error and is not a prediction for the next observed study estimate.

Posterior predictive checks

ppc.csv is an in-sample study-level posterior predictive check. It is useful for spotting studies that look out of line with the fitted model, but it is not leave-one-out validation and should not be interpreted as out-of-sample accuracy.

Reporting language

Recommended reporting should distinguish:

• the pooled posterior estimate for comparable evidence;
• the latent true-effect distribution for a future comparable study;
• uncertainty-scenario dependence;
• prior dependence;
• diagnostics and readiness caveats.